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Josue Polanco


Josue Polanco Climate change is one of the main challenges to be faced by human beings in this century XXI. The main difficulty to tackle this challenge is that it is a very complex problem, i.e., there are many elements involved and interconnected among them. For this reason, it is practically impossible to take into account all these elements. Thus, we can only consider a "few key factors" in our studies. This "simplified" version of our environmental introduces a large amount of uncertainty. On the other hand, there are many process and phenomena (physical, chemical, biological, socio-economical, etc.) that are not well understood, which also introduces uncertainty. The quantification -or at least to be aware- of this uncertainty plays an important role in the climate change studies. Therefore, pressing need to improve our understanding of these uncertainties in order to face the consequences of climate change in our society.

  • Position:
    GV-EJ Postdoctoral researcher
  • Main Research Field:
    Mutldisciplinary Research on Climate Change: Past, Present, and Future - Environmental/Energy/Financial/Paleoclimate Time Series Analysis - Paleo/Climatology - Fisheries Research - Econophysics - Scientific Programming - Statistics & Mathematics Applied
  • Contact information:
    Email address: josue.polanco@bc3research.org
    Contact phone: +34 94 401 4690 ext. 136
  • Research ID (WOK): Josue Polanco RID
  • Google Scholar: Josue Polanco Scholar
  • Download CV:  CV_Josue_Moises_Polanco_Martinez_BC3_29sep2017 

Short CV

Josué M. Polanco Martínez holds (2003) a B. Sc in Atmospheric Sciences (Universidad Veracruzana, México) in 2003 with a thesis entitled "Monitoring biomass burning with GOES-8 images in Southeast México" (supported by the Mexican Council for Science and Technology CONACYT and the Mexican Institute of Water Technology IMTA) and a PhD (2012) in Applied Physics (Meteorology/Climatology/Oceanography, Dpt. of Applied Physics II, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU) with a thesis entitled "Application of statistical techniques to the study of environmental and ecosystemic problems". Dr. Polanco worked as a research officer (2009-2012) at the Dpt. of Econometrics and Statistics and the Public Economics Institute (UPV/EHU) and in 2012 he obtained the ANECA accreditation as Assistant Professor and more recently in 2014 and 2017 he received the distinction of (Mexican) National Researcher System (SNI Level I) for the period 2015-2017 & 2018-2020, respectively. Since 2016 he is Basque Government Postdoctoral research fellow and is visiting postdoctoral researcher at UMR CNRS 5805 EPOC (Environnements et Paléoenvironnements Océaniques et Continentaux), Université de Bordeaux. Dr. Polanco is guest editor for the Special Issue (2017) in Paleoclimates in Iberoamerica, Boletín Geológico y Minero (Spain) [http://www.igme.es/Boletin/CallPapers/Call_for_papers_Paleoclima_Iberoamerica.pdf]. More info. about my research, please visit https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Josue_Polanco-Martinez

Latest contributions:

1) J. Polanco-Martínez, J. Fernández-Macho, M. Neumann, S.H. Faria. (2017). A pre-crisis vs. crisis analysis of peripheral EU stock markets by means of wavelet transform and a nonlinear causality test. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. DOI:

2) M. Medina-Elizalde, S. J. Burns, J. M. Polanco-Martínez, F. Lases-Hernández, R. Bradley, H-C Wang., C-C Shen. Synchronous precipitation reduction in the American Tropics associated with Heinrich 2. Nature Scientific Reports 7, 11216, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-11742-8

3) M.F. Sánchez-Goñi, Desprat, S., Daniau, A.-L., Bassinot, F., Polanco-Martínez, J.M., Harrison, S.P. et al. The ACER pollen database: global vegetation response to the abrupt climate changes of the last glacial period. Earth System Data Science, 9, 679-695. DOI:

Journal Articles

  • 2017
  • Sánchez Goñi, M. F., Desprat, S., Daniau, A.-L., Bassinot, F. C., Polanco-Martínez, J. M., Harrison, S. P., Allen, J. R. M., Anderson, R. S., Behling, H., Bonnefille, R., Burjachs, F., Carrión, J. S., Cheddadi, R., Clark, J. S., Combourieu-Nebout, N., Co. 2017. The ACER pollen and charcoal database: a global resource to document vegetation and fire response to abrupt climate changes during the last glacial period. Earth System Science Data Discussions . DOI (10.5194/essd-2017-4).
  • Foudi,S., Spadaro, J.V.,Chiabai,A.,Polanco-Martínez, J.M.,Neumann, M.B. 2017. The climatic dependencies of urban ecosystem services from green roofs: Threshold effects and non-linearity. Ecosystem Services. 24. 223-233. DOI (10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.03.004).
  • Frugone-Álvarez, M.; Latorre, C.; Giralt, S.; Polanco-Martínez, J.M.; Bernárdez, P.; Oliva-Urcia, P.; Maldonado, A.; Carrevedo, M.L.; Moreno, A.; Delgado Huertas, A.; Prego, R.; Barreiro-Lostres, F.;Valero-Garcés, B. . 2017. A 7,000 yr high-resolution lake sediment record from coastal central Chile (Lago Vichuquén, 34°S): implications for past sea level and environmental variability. Journal of Quaternary Science . 32. (6) 830-844. DOI (10.1002/jqs.2936).
  • Oliveira, D.,Sánchez Goñi, M.F.,Naughton,F.,Polanco-Martínez,J.M.,Jimenez-Espejo,F., Grimalt,F., Martrat, B., Voelker, A.H.L., Trigo, R.,Hodell, D.,Abrantes, F.,Desprat,S. 2017. Unexpected weak seasonal climate in the western Mediterranean region during MIS 31, a high-insolation forced interglacial. QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS. 161. 1-17. DOI (10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.02.013).
  • 2016
  • Capellán-Pérez, I., Arto, I., Polanco-Martínez, J.M., González-Eguino, M., Neumann, M.B. . 2016. Likelihood of climate change pathways under uncertainty on fossil fuel resources availability. Energy & Environmental Science. DOI (10.1039/C6EE01008C).
  • Ganzedo,U., Polanco-Martínez, J. M., Caballero-Alfonso, A. M., Faria, S.H. ,Jianke, L. and Castro-Hernández, J.J. 2016. Climate effects on historic bluefin tuna captures in the Gibraltar Strait and Western Mediterranean. Journal of Marine Systems. 158. 84-92. DOI (10.1016/j.jmarsys.2016.02.002).
  • Medina-Elizalde, M., Polanco-Martínez, J.M., Lases-Hernández, F., Bradley, R., Burns, S. 2016. Testing the “tropical storm” hypothesis of Yucatan Peninsula climate variability during the Maya Terminal Classic Period. QUATERNARY RESEARCH. DOI (10.1016/j.yqres.2016.05.006).
  • Polanco Martínez, J.M. 2016. El papel del análisis por componentes principales en la evaluación de redes de control de la calidad del aire. Comunicaciones en Estadistica. 9. (2) 271-294.
  • Polanco-Martínez, J.M., Abadie, L.M. 2016. Analyzing Crude Oil Spot Price Dynamics versus Long Term Future Prices: A Wavelet Analysis Approach. Energies. 9. (12) 1089. DOI (10.3390/en9121089).
  • Polanco-Martínez, Josué M., Faria,Sérgio H. 2016. (Forthcoming). Estimation of the significance of the Foster's wavelet spectrum by means of the permutation test, and applications to paleoclimate records. Boletin Geologico y Minero.
  • Sánchez Goñi, M.F., Rodrigues,T., Hodell, D.A., Polanco-Martínez, J.M., Alonso-García,M.,Hernández-Almeida, I.,Desprat, S and Ferretti, P. 2016. Tropically-driven climate shifts in southwestern Europe during MIS19, alow eccentricity interglacial. EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS. 448. 81-93. DOI (10.1016/j.epsl.2016.05.018).
  • 2015
  • Medina-Elizalde, M., Burns , S.J.,· Polanco-Martinez, J.,· Beach, T., Lases-Hernández, F., Shen, C.C., Wang. H.C. 2015. High-resolution speleothem record of precipitation from the Yucatan Peninsula spanning the Maya Preclassic Period. GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE. DOI (doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.10.003).
  • 2014
  • Josué M. Polanco Martínez. 2014. Estimación espectral de datos ambientales no equiespaciados vía el periodograma suavizado de Lomb-Scargle. Una breve revisión. Analítika: Revista de Análisis Estadístico . 8. (2) 7-23.
  • Polanco Martínez, J. M. and Fernández Macho, J. 2014. Package W2CWM2C: Description, Features, and Applications. COMPUTING IN SCIENCE & ENGINEERING. 16. (68) 68-78. DOI (10.1109/MCSE.2014.96).
  • 2011
  • J Polanco, U Ganzedo, J Sáenz, AM Caballero-Alfonso, JJ Castro-Hernández. 2011. Wavelet analysis of correlation among Canary Islands octopus captures per unit effort, sea-surface temperatures and the North Atlantic Oscillation. FISHERIES RESEARCH. 107. (1) 177-183. DOI (10.1016/j.fishres.2010.10.019).
  • 2010
  • AM Caballero-Alfonso, U Ganzedo, Aarón Trujillo-Santana, J Polanco, A Santana del Pino, G Ibarra-Berastegi, JJ Castro-Hernández. 2010. The role of climatic variability on the short-term fluctuations of octopus captures at the Canary Islands. FISHERIES RESEARCH. 102. (3) 258-265. DOI (10.1016/j.fishres.2009.12.006).
  • 2009
  • Gabriel Ibarra-Berastegi, Jon Sáenz, Agustín Ezcurra, Unai Ganzedo, Javier Díaz de Argandoña, Iñigo Errasti, Alejandro Fernandez-Ferrero, Josué Polanco-Martínez. 2009. Assessing spatial variability of SO2 field as detected by an air quality network using Self-Organizing Maps, cluster, and Principal Component Analysis. ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT. 43. (25) 3829–3836. DOI (10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.05.010).
  • U Ganzedo, E Zorita, AP Solari, G Chust, A Santana Del Pino, J Polanco, JJ Castro. 2009. What drove tuna catches between 1525 and 1756 in southern Europe?. ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE. 66. 1595 – 1604. DOI (10.1093/icesjms/fsp050).

Books and Specials

Book chapters

  • 2016
  • Capellán-Pérez, I., Arto, I., Polanco-Martínez, J. M., González-Eguino, M., Neumann, M. B. 2016. Climate Change Pathways and Uncertainty on Recoverable Energy Resources. Establishing Policy-Relevance: Developing and Evaluating Policy Options. Sigtunastifelsen. ISBN 978-91-976048-3-3.
  • 2005
  • Martin J Montero-Martinez, Josue M Polanco-Martinez. 2005. A three-year Analysis of the Biomass Burning Season in Southeast Mexico by Using a Contextual Fire Detection Algorithm. Informatics for Environmental Protection - Networking Environmental Information (Part 1). 1st ed. Brno. Masaryk University Brno. 108 - 112. ISBN 80-210-3780-6. (http://www.iai.kit.edu/ictensure/site;jsessionid=C71CD88FD4DC45E13171701F3F80AEFB?mod=litdb&subject=art&pid=L19ECDAF3&action=detail).
  • 2004
  • Martín J Montero Martínez, Josué M Polanco Martínez, Rosales Oropeza. 2004. Implementación de un algoritmo para la detección de fuegos usando imágenes GOES. Incendios forestales en Mexico/Forest fires in Mexico: Metodos De Evaluacion/Evaluations Methods,. 1st ed. México, DF. Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera - Universidad Nacional Autonoma de México. 25-40. ISBN ISBN 970-32-1843-1. (http://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/editorial/libros/incendios_forestales/cap_2.pdf).

BC3 Working Papers & Policy Briefings

Conference Proceedings

  • 2017
  • Looking for potential climate regime shifts during the last Glacial period by means of the Changepoint package. *J. M. Polanco-Martínez, M.F. Sánchez-Goñi, A.-L. Daniau, S. Desprat , presented at the Changepoint Workshop, organized by University of Lancaster , Manchester, United Kingdom, May, 2017
  • Unexpected weak seasonal climate in the western Mediterranean region in response to MIS 31, a high-insolation forced interglacial. D. Oliveira; M. F. Sánchez Goñi; F. Naughton; J. M. Polanco-Martínez; F. J. Jimenez-Espejo; J. O. Grimalt; B. Martrat; A. H, presented at the 5th Open Science Conference, PAGES -Past Global Changes, organized by IPE-CSIC, Zaragoza, Spain, May, 2017
  • The ACER pollen and charcoal database: a global resource to document vegetation and fire response to abrupt climate changes during the last glacial period. M.F. Sanchez Goñi; S. Desprat; A.L. Daniau; F. Bassinot; J.M. Polanco-Martínez; S.P. Harrison, presented at the 5th Open Science Conference, PAGES -Past Global Changes, organized by IPE-CSIC, Zaragoza, Spain, May, 2017
  • Differential response of Holocene climate variability observed from lake records along an elevational gradient in the intermediate latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere. *M. Frugone-Alvarez, J. M. Polanco- Martínez, A. Moreno, B. Valero-Garcés, C. Latorre, presented at the 5th Open Science Conference, PAGES -Past Global Changes, organized by IPE-CSIC, Zaragoza, Spain, May, 2017
  • 2016
  • Climatic effects on historic Bluefin tuna in the Gibraltar Strait and Western Mediterranean by means of time series analysis. Polanco-Mart??nez, J.M.*, U. Ganzedo, Caballero- Alfonso, M.A., S.H Faria, J. Li, Castro-Hernández, J.J., presented at the Time series analysis in environmental science and applications to climate change. Training & Conference., organized by University of Tromso, Tromso, Norway, Nov, 2016
  • Training, presented at the PATC Course: Earth Sciences Simulation Environments, organized by Barcelona Su- percomputing Center (BSC) and Partnership for Advanced Computing in Europe (PRACE) 4IP project, Barcelona, Spain, Nov, 2016
  • Estimation of the significance of the Foster’s wavelet spectrum by means of the permutation test, and applications to ocean unevenly spaced time series. J.M. Polanco-Martínez*, S.H.Faria, presented at the The Global Ocean Week Opportunités & Perspectives dans la modélisa- tion océanique., organized by Copernicus Marine Service (CMEMS) and European Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST)., Toulouse, France, Oct, 2016
  • Técnicas estadísticas no estándar para el análisis de series temporales paleoclimáticas , presented at the Las charlas del IPE, organized by Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología - CSIC , Zaragoza, Spain, Oct, 2016
  • The BINCOR R package: a computational software to estimate the correlation between two irregular paleoclimate time series. J. M. Polanco-Martínez*, M. Mudelsee, M. Medina-Elizalde, S.H.Faria, presented at the PAGES Cross Community Workshop on past flood variability, organized by PAGES -Past Global changes, CNRS, University of Grenoble, Grenoble, France, Jun, 2016
  • What can we learn about the Classical Maya collapse?. J. M. Polanco-Martínez, M. Medina-Elizalde, S.H. Faria, presented at the PAGES Workshop: Dynamics of socio-ecosystems on a changing Earth: sustainability or collapse?, organized by PAGES - Past Global Changes & EDYTEM (CNRS, université Savoie Mont Blanc), Chambéry, Savoie Mont Blanc, France, May, 2016
  • Tsunami school 2016, presented at the TANDEM and DELFI LITTORAL: tsunami school 2016, organized by INRIA Bordeaux Sud-Ouest research center, Bordeaux, France, Apr, 2016
  • Tropically-driven climate shifts in southwestern Europe during MIS 19, a low eccentricity interglacial. Maria Fernanda Sanchez Goñi, Teresa Rodrigues, David A. Hodell, Josue M. Polanco-Martinez, Montserrat Alonso-Garcia, Ivan Hernandez-Almeida, Stéphanie , presented at the European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2016, organized by European Geosciences Union, Vienna, Austria, Apr, 2016
  • Relationship interspecific and environmental of Octopus vulgaris and Pagrus pagrus through catches of the Gran Canaria fishing fleet. Ganzedo, U., Hernández-Marrero, Y.A., Polanco-Martínez, J.M., Barrera A., Castro, J.J., presented at the CECOMA (Challenges in Environmental Management of Coastal and Marine Areas, organized by Institute EcoAqua of the University of Las Palmas (ULPGC) , Las Palmas de Gran Canaria , Spain, Jan, 2016
  • 2015
  • Correlation analysis for unevenly spaced environmental time series. Josué M Polanco-Martínez, Dae-Jin Lee , presented at the XV Conferencia Española y V Encuentro Iberoamericano de Biometría CEB - EIB 2015 Conference, organized by University of the Basque Country, Bilbao, Spain, Sep, 2015
  • Towards a new statistical tool for analyzing unevenly spaced paleoclimate time series, J. M. Polanco-Martínez & S. H. Faria, presented at the International Work-Conference on Time Series Analysis ITISE 2015, organized by University of Granada , Granada , Spain, Jul, 2015
  • Los efectos del cambio climático sobre las pesquerías., presented at the Arrain Azoka Bermeo 2015, organized by Bermeoko Udala, Bermeo, Spain, May, 2015
  • Climate regime shifts in paleoclimate time series from the Yucatán Peninsula: from the Preclassic to Classic period, Josue M. Polanco Martínez (1), Martin Medina-Elizalde (2), Stephen J. Burns (3), Xiuyang Jiang (4), Chuan-Chou Shen (4,5), presented at the European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2015, organized by Organized by the European Geosciences Union (EGU), Vienna, Austria, Apr, 2015
  • Wavelet analysis of the relationship between heat waves and droughts in observed and simulated climatic data: a case study for Spain,J. M. Polanco-Martínez*, M. B. Neumann, E. Scoccimarro, S. Gualdi , presented at the International Symposium CLIMATE-ES 2015, organized by C3 – Centre for Climate Change, University Rovira i Virgili, Tortosa, Spain, Mar, 2015
  • 2014
  • The R package “ReadObsHistWeaDat”: Reading and handling Observational Historical Weather Data, presented at the Ocean’s Big Data Mining 2014 Summer School, organized by Organized by the Ifremer, Telecom Bretagne, Labex Mer, R ?egion Bretagne and IRD, Brest, France, Sep, 2014
The opinions expressed at the information included in the personal web pages of the BC3 researchers, are responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the position of Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3).

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