#BC3Seminar | A coupled atmosphere-hydrosphere-lithosphere digital twin system: physics based explainable AI paradigm

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#BC3Seminar | A coupled atmosphere-hydrosphere-lithosphere digital twin system: physics based explainable AI paradigm

 

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The new problematic is the elaboration of coupled models across spatio-temporal scales, therefore involving the use high spatial resolution and dense time series from multiple EO missions and diverse non-traditional data sources including seismic infrasound records. This is the new challenge of Big EO Data. The tutorial introduces and explains solution based on AI for the DT design. An DT is the convergence of the sensing physical mechanisms tightly connected, communicating and continuously learning, from and with mathematical models, data analytics, simulations and user interaction.

The presentation covers the major developments, of hybrid, physics aware AI paradigms, at the convergence of forward modelling, inverse problem and machine learning, to discover causalities and make prediction for maximization of the information extracted from EO and related non-EO data. The majority of EO applications or services require the complementary EO multi-sensor and non-EO data, i.e., sensor fusion and multitemporal observations. The tutorial explains how to automatize the entire chain from multi-sensor EO and non-EO data, to physical parameters, required in applications by filling the gaps and generating a relevant, understandable layers of information. 

The DT are technologies looking o the evolution of EO at least for the horizons of next two decades. The explosive present advance of AI methods was obtained thanks to mainly two factors, the advancement of theoretical bases and performance evolution of the IT, i.e. computation, storage and communication.

The methods and techniques presented will cover topics as:

  • Counterfactual explanations in EO applications
  • Explainable AI for adaptation at climate changes effects at scales of human actvity
  • Physics-aware AI for EO and in-situ diverse sensor data 
  • Analyzing the possible effects of improper explanations 

As a practical illustration, we will present a first case study of an extreme meteorlogical event that impacted Romania’s Black Sea coast, setting new records for precipitation and emphasizing the growing need for improved monitoring of extreme weather events. In this example, we demonstrate how diverse non-traditional data sources—including seismic infrasound, and satellite observations can be integrated to track the full lifecycle of a storm. Infrasound microseismic bands (0.1–1 Hz) captured the distinct phases of the storm and showed the coupled atmosphere-lithosphere interactions. This case study demonstrates how integrating heterogeneous, physics-rich datasets can significantly improve the detection, characterization, and early warning of extreme weather events, offering a powerful example of the potential of Digital Twins for real-world climate adaptation strategies.

A second case study will be extended to  bio-, chemical, physical parameters extraction from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 products, and the interactive analysis of their spatio-temporal evolution in relation to meteorological parameters, as temperature, precipitations or wind parameters. A new paradigm of Virtual Sensing is used to predict un-observed signatures, as training a DNN model with Lidar measurements and applying it to Sentinel-2 for canopy height prediction. The demonstration is focused to produce adaptation knowledge as requested for actions aiming to protect biodiversity and ecosystems. Further the eutrophication of sweet-water lakes is addressed analyzing time series of cyanobacteria, turbidity or water indexes in spatio-temporal context to detected causalities. EO support for OneHealth applications are also envisaged to anticipate fight vector-borne emerging animal and zoonotic infectious diseases, implementing an integrated approach considering the links between human health, animal health, and environmental health. The coupled DTs components will support and promote a geographical diversity approach, involving various regions and communities, following a systemic approach converging several cross-modalities themes and areas of innovation, implemented as an inclusive methodology to bring together public administrations, private sector, civil society, and finally the citizens in person.

Biography

Mihai Datcu (Fellow, IEEE) received the M.S. and  Ph.D. degrees in electronics and telecommunications from the University Politehnica of Bucharest (UPB), in 1978 and 1986, respectively, and the Habilitation a Diriger des Recherches degree in computer science from University Louis Pasteur, Strasbourg, in 1999. Since 1981, he has been with the Department of Applied Electronics and Information Engineering, Faculty of Electronics, Telecommunications and Information Technology, POLITEHNICA Bucharest. From 1992 to 2002, he had an Invited Professor Assignment with the Institute of Communication Technology, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH Zürich). From 1993 to 2023, he was with the German Aerospace Center (DLR), Oberpfaffafenhofen, Germany, as a Senior Scientist with the Remote Sensing Technology Institute (IMF) and a Team Leader of the Big Data and AI for Earth Observation. From 2005 to 2013, he was a Professor holder of the DLR-CNES Chair, ParisTech. From 2011 to 2018, he led the Immersive Visual Information Mining Research Laboratory, Munich Aerospace Faculty. From 2018 to 2020, he was the holder of the Blaise Pascal International Chair of Excellence, at Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers (CNAM), Paris. He was a Visiting Professor with the Universities in Brazil, China and Europe. He is currently a Full Professor and the Director of the Research Center for Spatial Information (CEOSapceTech), POLITEHNICA Bucharesty and  Visiting Professor with the ESA’s Φ-Lab. His research interests include information theory, signal processing, artificial intelligence, computational imaging, and quantum machine learning with applications in EO. He was a recipient of the Chaire d’Excellence Internationale Blaise Pascal 2017 for international recognition in the field of data science in EO, and the 2018 Ad Astra Award for Excellence in Science. In 2022, he received the IEEE GRSS David Landgrebe Award in recognition of outstanding contributions to Earth observation analysis using innovative concepts for big data analysis, image mining, machine learning, smart sensors, and quantum resources. He is IEEE GRSS DL.

Sede Building (Room Aketxe), Scientific Park of the University of the Basque Country, February 19 (2026), 11:00-12:00

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